Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 6.841585e-01 0.872334 1.083564 1.335592 1.625472 1.945921 2.324383
2025-09-21 4.289538e-01 0.665352 0.964373 1.358171 1.851078 2.436244 3.171771
2025-09-28 2.569175e-01 0.495929 0.838502 1.334053 2.002185 2.843398 3.953518
2025-10-05 1.627460e-01 0.394643 0.769986 1.360082 2.206167 3.321706 4.848770
2025-10-12 9.992760e-02 0.312965 0.704225 1.370070 2.378798 3.762323 5.714531
2025-10-19 5.418121e-02 0.234695 0.618379 1.328248 2.464147 4.081863 6.429506
2025-10-26 2.782347e-02 0.177667 0.549922 1.296798 2.553252 4.402958 7.152629
2025-11-02 1.458878e-02 0.142495 0.511573 1.306582 2.700854 4.808928 8.002561
2025-11-09 5.630809e-03 0.105000 0.452156 1.264321 2.755709 5.075959 8.661561
2025-11-16 2.736465e-03 0.090831 0.444534 1.319015 2.972773 5.591845 9.688798
2025-11-23 8.071443e-04 0.071871 0.414750 1.321981 3.098346 5.970069 10.524992
2025-11-30 3.147341e-04 0.066089 0.422880 1.406131 3.370553 6.583715 11.720154
2025-12-07 4.954175e-05 0.056956 0.416708 1.459788 3.595395 7.137866 12.853384
2025-12-14 3.765190e-08 0.046300 0.399024 1.484004 3.767523 7.614589 13.884819
2025-12-21 NaN 0.033674 0.363508 1.458463 3.843217 7.937370 14.692113
2025-12-28 NaN 0.027144 0.350431 1.486195 4.021196 8.431367 15.769322
2026-01-04 NaN 0.020868 0.332319 1.496841 4.164768 8.871129 16.771000
2026-01-11 NaN 0.013564 0.296961 1.452382 4.193439 9.117683 17.477956
2026-01-18 NaN 0.008642 0.268017 1.418928 4.240077 9.393655 18.234132
2026-01-25 NaN 0.006140 0.254605 1.429343 4.377868 9.828559 19.246967
2026-02-01 NaN 0.003318 0.226083 1.384365 4.392825 10.049067 19.923190
2026-02-08 NaN 0.002726 0.228230 1.442573 4.635581 10.674746 21.255246
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001660 0.215368 1.445729 4.755881 11.086113 22.249977